Heidenheim vs Mainz 05 Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Heidenheim v Mainz 05 — Team-Based Signals
Heidenheim vs Mainz 05 Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-1
Heidenheim
AL1
Heidenheim 0-2 Mainz 05 — Actual Match Statistics
Mainz 05 got the better of Heidenheim 2-0 away from home.
Our pre-match lean was Heidenheim at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (61%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Heidenheim had 53% of the ball to Mainz 05's 47%, shots finished 15-15, expected goals 2.53 to 3.71.
For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Heidenheim and 1.00 for Mainz 05.
What was the final score of Heidenheim vs Mainz 05?
Heidenheim 0-2 Mainz 05 in the Germany - Bundesliga on 16/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Heidenheim vs Mainz 05?
Before kick-off our model rated a Heidenheim win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Heidenheim 43%, draw 24%, Mainz 05 32%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.