Union Berlin vs Augsburg Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Union Berlin v Augsburg — Team-Based Signals
Union Berlin vs Augsburg Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-1
Augsburg
AL1
1-0
HT 0-0
Union Berlin
AL1
Union Berlin 4-0 Augsburg — Actual Match Statistics
Union Berlin cruised past Augsburg 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.
Our pre-match lean was Augsburg at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Union Berlin had 49% of the ball to Augsburg's 51%, shots finished 17-11, expected goals 3.68 to 0.61.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Augsburg led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Union Berlin and 1.33 for Augsburg.
What was the final score of Union Berlin vs Augsburg?
Union Berlin 4-0 Augsburg in the Germany - Bundesliga on 16/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Union Berlin vs Augsburg?
Before kick-off our model rated an Augsburg win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Union Berlin 35%, draw 23%, Augsburg 42%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Augsburg), BTTS Yes went the other way.