Freiburg vs RB Leipzig Prediction — Model Probabilities
Freiburg v RB Leipzig — Team-Based Signals
Freiburg vs RB Leipzig Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Freiburg 4-1 RB Leipzig — Actual Match Statistics
Freiburg made light work of RB Leipzig 4-1. Half-time: 2-1. A 5-goal game — the defences never settled.
From a near-even 38% / 24% / 38% read, it was Freiburg who turned the coin-flip their way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (66%), both teams to score (65%) came in.
The match data tells the story: RB Leipzig saw more of the ball, 59% to 41%, shots finished 11-14, expected goals 1.41 to 1.24.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, RB Leipzig led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.50 a game for Freiburg against 2.17 for RB Leipzig.
Freiburg vs RB Leipzig Result & Final Score
Freiburg 4 - 1 RB Leipzig in the Germany - Bundesliga on 16/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Freiburg vs RB Leipzig Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Freiburg win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Freiburg 38%, draw 24%, RB Leipzig 38%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.