Freiburg vs RB Leipzig Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Freiburg v RB Leipzig — Team-Based Signals
Freiburg vs RB Leipzig Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-1
HT 1-1
Freiburg
AL1
0-1
HT 0-0
RB Leipzig
AL1
Freiburg 4-1 RB Leipzig — Actual Match Statistics
Freiburg cruised past RB Leipzig 4-1. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 22% / 41% — and on the day Freiburg made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (59%) came in.
On the day, Freiburg had 41% of the ball to RB Leipzig's 59%, shots finished 11-14, expected goals 1.41 to 1.24.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, RB Leipzig led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Freiburg and 2.17 for RB Leipzig.
What was the final score of Freiburg vs RB Leipzig?
Freiburg 4-1 RB Leipzig in the Germany - Bundesliga on 16/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Freiburg vs RB Leipzig?
Before kick-off our model rated an RB Leipzig win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Freiburg 37%, draw 22%, RB Leipzig 41%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (RB Leipzig) went the other way.