Atalanta 1-2 Juventus — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 16 Aug 2025

Atalanta
1 - 2 HT 0 - 0
Juventus
📅16/08/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✓ 2nd Score 1-3 ✗
Friendlies – 2025/2026

Atalanta vs Juventus Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.67
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
41%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under
46%
2.0
Over
54%
1.77
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
58%
1.59
No
42%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1
24%
3.57
2-3
46%
1.78
4-5
24%
3.13
6+
6%
10.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
4.2
1/2 ✗
3%
24.5
1/X
6%
12.85
X/1
11%
6.29
X/2
15%
5.27
X/X
16%
4.91
2/1
3%
28.5
2/2
23%
3.2
2/X
5%
12.55
Value flag · 1/2 at 24.5 — our 3% vs market 1.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to ✓ / ✗. Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.

Atalanta v Juventus — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Atalanta The Market 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Juventus The Market 45%
Weak Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Weak
1.40 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.67
1.51 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.30
Bad Attack Strength Weak
Great Defense Strength Weak
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
377 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 384 · 82%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26
– Crosses 24
– Yellow Cards 0

Atalanta vs Juventus Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atalanta
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Juventus
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.36 xG 1.15
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
447 Passes 415
87% Pass Accuracy 85%
24 Box Touches 20
18 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
09.03.2025 Juventus Juventus 0-4 HT 0-1 Atalanta Atalanta İTA
14.01.2025 Atalanta Atalanta 1-1 HT 0-0 Juventus Juventus İTA
15.05.2024 Atalanta Atalanta 0-1 HT 0-1 Juventus Juventus İTK
10.03.2024 Juventus Juventus 2-2 HT 0-1 Atalanta Atalanta İTA
01.10.2023 Atalanta Atalanta 0-0 HT 0-0 Juventus Juventus İTA
12.08.2023 Juventus Juventus 0-0 HT 0-0 Atalanta Atalanta HAZ

Atalanta 1-2 Juventus — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atalanta
1 - 2
AWAY Juventus
1.44 xG 1.34
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 2
396 Passes 474
87% Pass Accuracy 89%
24 Box Touches 24
19 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 0
REVIEW Atalanta vs Juventus
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Juventus edged past Atalanta 2-1 away from home. It stood 0-0 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart.

As we said in the preview, our model had Juventus as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. Nothing to argue with on goals either — both teams to score (58%) came home.

Under the surface, Juventus saw more of the ball, 54% to 46%, shots finished 11-13, expected goals 1.44 to 1.34.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.17 a game for Atalanta against 0.67 for Juventus.

Atalanta vs Juventus Result & Final Score

Atalanta 1 - 2 Juventus in the Friendlies on 16/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Atalanta vs Juventus Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Juventus win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Atalanta 32%, draw 26%, Juventus 41%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Juventus), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Juventus) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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