Atletico Mineiro vs Mirassol FC Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Atletico Mineiro v Mirassol FC — Team-Based Signals
Atletico Mineiro vs Mirassol FC Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
Atletico Mineiro 3-1 Mirassol FC — Actual Match Statistics
Atletico Mineiro saw off Mirassol FC 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Atletico Mineiro as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, Atletico Mineiro had 49% of the ball to Mirassol FC's 51%, shots finished 14-7, expected goals 2.23 to 0.79.
For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Atletico Mineiro had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Atletico Mineiro and 1.00 for Mirassol FC.
What was the final score of Atletico Mineiro vs Mirassol FC?
Atletico Mineiro 3-1 Mirassol FC in the Brazil - Serie A on 17/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Atletico Mineiro vs Mirassol FC?
Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Mineiro win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Atletico Mineiro 44%, draw 27%, Mirassol FC 29%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico Mineiro), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.