Fluminense vs Sao Paulo Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Fluminense v Sao Paulo — Team-Based Signals
Fluminense vs Sao Paulo Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Sao Paulo
BR1
1-0
HT 0-0
Fluminense
BR1
Fluminense 2-1 Sao Paulo — Actual Match Statistics
Fluminense nicked a narrow win over Sao Paulo 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Fluminense as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, Fluminense had 50% of the ball to Sao Paulo's 50%, shots finished 10-14, expected goals 1.19 to 1.01.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Fluminense and 1.00 for Sao Paulo.
What was the final score of Fluminense vs Sao Paulo?
Fluminense 2-1 Sao Paulo in the Brazil - Serie A on 17/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Fluminense vs Sao Paulo?
Before kick-off our model rated a Fluminense win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Fluminense 49%, draw 30%, Sao Paulo 21%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fluminense), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.