Palmeiras vs Cruzeiro Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Palmeiras v Cruzeiro — Team-Based Signals
Palmeiras vs Cruzeiro Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-1
Palmeiras
BR1
1-0
HT 0-0
Cruzeiro
BR1
Palmeiras 1-1 Cruzeiro — Actual Match Statistics
Palmeiras and Cruzeiro couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.
Our pre-match lean was Palmeiras at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Palmeiras had 47% of the ball to Cruzeiro's 53%, shots finished 16-11, expected goals 1.05 to 0.44.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Palmeiras had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Palmeiras and 0.67 for Cruzeiro.
What was the final score of Palmeiras vs Cruzeiro?
Palmeiras 1-1 Cruzeiro in the Brazil - Serie A on 17/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Palmeiras vs Cruzeiro?
Before kick-off our model rated a Palmeiras win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Palmeiras 54%, draw 27%, Cruzeiro 19%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Palmeiras), BTTS No went the other way.