Botafogo vs Corinthians Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Botafogo v Corinthians — Team-Based Signals
Botafogo vs Corinthians Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Botafogo
BR1
3-0
HT 1-0
Corinthians
BR1
Botafogo 3-1 Corinthians — Actual Match Statistics
Botafogo beat Corinthians 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.
Our pre-match split (39% / 29% / 32%) promised a tight game; Botafogo found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Botafogo had 35% of the ball to Corinthians's 65%, shots finished 13-19, expected goals 0.95 to 0.82.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Botafogo had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Botafogo and 0.83 for Corinthians.
What was the final score of Botafogo vs Corinthians?
Botafogo 3-1 Corinthians in the Brazil - Serie A on 17/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Botafogo vs Corinthians?
Before kick-off our model rated a Botafogo win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Botafogo 39%, draw 29%, Corinthians 32%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Botafogo) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.