Santos vs Coritiba Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Santos v Coritiba — Team-Based Signals
Santos vs Coritiba Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 1-1
Coritiba
BR1
0-0
HT 0-0
Santos
BR1
Santos 0-3 Coritiba — Actual Match Statistics
Coritiba cruised past Santos 3-0 away from home.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Santos at 59% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Santos had 63% of the ball to Coritiba's 37%, shots finished 13-9, expected goals 2.21 to 2.48.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Santos had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Santos and 0.17 for Coritiba.
What was the final score of Santos vs Coritiba?
Santos 0-3 Coritiba in the Brazil - Serie A on 17/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Santos vs Coritiba?
Before kick-off our model rated a Santos win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Santos 59%, draw 23%, Coritiba 18%. The final score 0-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.