Union Berlin vs Wolfsburg Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Union Berlin v Wolfsburg — Team-Based Signals
Union Berlin vs Wolfsburg Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 2-1
Union Berlin
AL1
1-1
HT 0-0
Union Berlin
AL1
Union Berlin 1-2 Wolfsburg — Actual Match Statistics
Wolfsburg nicked a narrow win over Union Berlin 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match lean was Union Berlin at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, Union Berlin had 54% of the ball to Wolfsburg's 46%, shots finished 25-5, expected goals 1.79 to 0.19 — on chances, Union Berlin could feel hard done by.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Wolfsburg led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Union Berlin and 1.17 for Wolfsburg.
What was the final score of Union Berlin vs Wolfsburg?
Union Berlin 1-2 Wolfsburg in the Germany - Bundesliga on 18/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Union Berlin vs Wolfsburg?
Before kick-off our model rated a Union Berlin win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Union Berlin 47%, draw 23%, Wolfsburg 30%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Union Berlin) went the other way.