Eintracht Frankfurt 1-3 RB Leipzig — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Bundesliga, 18 Apr 2026

📅18/04/2026 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.67
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
47%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.89
Over 2.5
58%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.35
No
42%
2.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
6.34
2-3 Goals
36%
2.1
4-5 Goals
23%
2.42
6+ Goals
16%
4.89
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
4.07
1/2 EV+ ✗
13%
20.25
1/X
9%
12.0
X/1
10%
7.16
X/2
10%
5.69
X/X
12%
6.21
2/1
7%
24.35
2/2
23%
2.85
2/X
5%
11.65
Value flag · 1/2 at 20.25 — our 13% vs market 2.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
33%
-5.4pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.9pp
47%
Away Win
43%
+3.6pp
42%
Under 2.5
31%
+11.0pp
58%
Over 2.5
69%
-11.0pp
58%
BTTS Yes
70%
-12.2pp
42%
BTTS No
30%
+12.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Eintracht Frankfurt EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY RB Leipzig EU Bookmakers 48%
+5% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -7%
1.67/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.66/1.26
+14% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +1%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
337 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 381 · 80%
26.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.7
16.5 Crosses 18.1
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Eintracht Frankfurt
2W-1D-3L
AWAY RB Leipzig
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.22 xG 2.19
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
392 Passes 410
82% Pass Accuracy 84%
22 Box Touches 25
16 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 1
06.12.2025 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 6-0 HT 2-0 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt AL1
26.04.2025 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt 4-0 HT 1-0 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig AL1
15.12.2024 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 2-1 HT 1-1 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt AL1
04.12.2024 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 3-0 HT 1-0 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt AFK
18.05.2024 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt 2-2 HT 0-1 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig AL1
13.01.2024 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 0-1 HT 0-1 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt AL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Eintracht Frankfurt
1-3
AWAY RB Leipzig
1.58 xG 2.09
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 19
5 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 6
315 Passes 291
85% Pass Accuracy 83%
27 Box Touches 37
10 Crosses 18
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Eintracht Frankfurt vs RB Leipzig
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

RB Leipzig got the better of Eintracht Frankfurt 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had RB Leipzig as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (58%) came in.

On the day, Eintracht Frankfurt had 51% of the ball to RB Leipzig's 49%, shots finished 16-19, expected goals 1.58 to 2.09.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, RB Leipzig led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Eintracht Frankfurt and 2.17 for RB Leipzig.

What was the final score of Eintracht Frankfurt vs RB Leipzig?

Eintracht Frankfurt 1-3 RB Leipzig in the Germany - Bundesliga on 18/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Eintracht Frankfurt vs RB Leipzig?

Before kick-off our model rated an RB Leipzig win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Eintracht Frankfurt 28%, draw 26%, RB Leipzig 47%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (RB Leipzig), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (RB Leipzig) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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