Bayer Leverkusen vs Augsburg Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Bayer Leverkusen v Augsburg — Team-Based Signals
Bayer Leverkusen vs Augsburg Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Bayer Leverkusen
AL1
Bayer Leverkusen 1-2 Augsburg — Actual Match Statistics
Augsburg nicked a narrow win over Bayer Leverkusen 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Bayer Leverkusen at 72% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (57%) came in.
On the day, Bayer Leverkusen had 70% of the ball to Augsburg's 30%, shots finished 36-11, expected goals 3.80 to 1.41 — the balance of chances actually favoured Bayer Leverkusen.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bayer Leverkusen had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Bayer Leverkusen and 0.67 for Augsburg.
What was the final score of Bayer Leverkusen vs Augsburg?
Bayer Leverkusen 1-2 Augsburg in the Germany - Bundesliga on 18/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Bayer Leverkusen vs Augsburg?
Before kick-off our model rated a Bayer Leverkusen win the most likely single outcome at about 72%, with the full match-result split Bayer Leverkusen 72%, draw 14%, Augsburg 14%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Bayer Leverkusen) went the other way.