One Knoxville vs Charlotte Independence Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
One Knoxville v Charlotte Independence — Team-Based Signals
One Knoxville vs Charlotte Independence Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
One Knoxville 2-1 Charlotte Independence — Actual Match Statistics
One Knoxville nicked a narrow win over Charlotte Independence 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had One Knoxville as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, One Knoxville had 48% of the ball to Charlotte Independence's 52%, shots finished 17-19, expected goals 2.81 to 1.36 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold One Knoxville's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, One Knoxville had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for One Knoxville and 1.33 for Charlotte Independence.
What was the final score of One Knoxville vs Charlotte Independence?
One Knoxville 2-1 Charlotte Independence in the USA - USL League 1 on 19/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for One Knoxville vs Charlotte Independence?
Before kick-off our model rated a One Knoxville win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split One Knoxville 47%, draw 26%, Charlotte Independence 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (One Knoxville) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.