FC Cincinnati vs CF Montreal Prediction — Model Probabilities
FC Cincinnati v CF Montreal — Team-Based Signals
FC Cincinnati vs CF Montreal Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
FC Cincinnati 4-3 CF Montreal — Actual Match Statistics
FC Cincinnati came out on the right side of a one-goal game with CF Montreal 4-3. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. With 7 goals, entertainment was never the problem.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had FC Cincinnati as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead. Nothing to argue with on goals either — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (58%) came home.
Under the surface, FC Cincinnati had 46% of the ball to CF Montreal's 54%, shots finished 15-19, expected goals 1.61 to 2.04 — on chances, CF Montreal could feel hard done by.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Cincinnati had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for FC Cincinnati and 0.83 for CF Montreal.
FC Cincinnati vs CF Montreal Result & Final Score
FC Cincinnati 4 - 3 CF Montreal in the USA - Major League on 22/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
FC Cincinnati vs CF Montreal Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a FC Cincinnati win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split FC Cincinnati 57%, draw 23%, CF Montreal 20%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Cincinnati), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.