Colorado Rapids 0-3 Portland Timbers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 23 Mar 2025

📅23/03/2025 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.75
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
25%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.29
Over 2.5
56%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.56
No
46%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.44
2-3 Goals
39%
1.87
4-5 Goals
26%
2.71
6+ Goals
12%
7.33
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
2.24
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
10%
13.2
X/1
14%
4.57
X/2
8%
9.07
X/X
9%
5.87
2/1
8%
20.35
2/2
10%
6.38
2/X
5%
14.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Over 2.5 — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Over 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
53%
-2.7pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.8pp
25%
Away Win
24%
+1.7pp
44%
Under 2.5
40%
+3.8pp
56%
Over 2.5
60%
-3.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
60%
-5.7pp
46%
BTTS No
40%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Colorado Rapids EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Portland Timbers EU Bookmakers 27%
-3% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +0%
1.64/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.75
-11% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -19%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
356 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 81%
25.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.5
20.4 Crosses 14.6
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Colorado Rapids
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Portland Timbers
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
1.12 xG 1.85
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
356 Passes 355
82% Pass Accuracy 82%
23 Box Touches 22
21 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
15.09.2024 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids 2-1 HT 1-1 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers ABD
02.08.2024 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers 4-0 HT 1-0 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids CONLK
25.02.2024 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers 4-1 HT 4-0 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids ABD
24.09.2023 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers 3-2 HT 2-2 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids ABD
13.07.2023 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids 0-0 HT 0-0 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers ABD
26.06.2022 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers 3-0 HT 1-0 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Colorado Rapids
0-3
AWAY Portland Timbers
0.54 xG 1.76
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 11
1 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
348 Passes 447
77% Pass Accuracy 83%
26 Box Touches 14
26 Crosses 5
POST-MATCH Colorado Rapids vs Portland Timbers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Portland Timbers cruised past Colorado Rapids 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Colorado Rapids at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Colorado Rapids had 47% of the ball to Portland Timbers's 53%, shots finished 8-11, expected goals 0.54 to 1.76.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Portland Timbers led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Colorado Rapids and 2.50 for Portland Timbers.

What was the final score of Colorado Rapids vs Portland Timbers?

Colorado Rapids 0-3 Portland Timbers in the USA - Major League on 23/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Colorado Rapids vs Portland Timbers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Colorado Rapids win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Colorado Rapids 50%, draw 24%, Portland Timbers 25%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Colorado Rapids), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Colorado Rapids) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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