Sacramento Republic vs Colorado Springs Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sacramento Republic v Colorado Springs — Team-Based Signals
Sacramento Republic vs Colorado Springs Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 1-0
Sacramento Republic
USLP
4-0
HT 3-0
Colorado Springs
USLP
2-1
HT 1-1
Sacramento Republic
USLP
3-0
HT 3-0
Colorado Springs
USLP
Sacramento Republic 2-2 Colorado Springs — Actual Match Statistics
Sacramento Republic and Colorado Springs couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match lean was Sacramento Republic at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Sacramento Republic had 40% of the ball to Colorado Springs's 60%, shots finished 16-10, expected goals 2.34 to 1.92.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Sacramento Republic and 0.83 for Colorado Springs.
What was the final score of Sacramento Republic vs Colorado Springs?
Sacramento Republic 2-2 Colorado Springs in the USL Championship on 23/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sacramento Republic vs Colorado Springs?
Before kick-off our model rated a Sacramento Republic win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Sacramento Republic 46%, draw 26%, Colorado Springs 27%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.