FC Dallas vs Minnesota United Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
FC Dallas v Minnesota United — Team-Based Signals
FC Dallas vs Minnesota United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
FC Dallas 0-1 Minnesota United — Actual Match Statistics
Minnesota United nicked a narrow win over FC Dallas 1-0 away from home.
Our pre-match lean was FC Dallas at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (63%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, FC Dallas had 49% of the ball to Minnesota United's 51%, shots finished 15-5, expected goals 0.72 to 1.03.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Minnesota United led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for FC Dallas and 1.17 for Minnesota United.
What was the final score of FC Dallas vs Minnesota United?
FC Dallas 0-1 Minnesota United in the USA - Major League on 23/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for FC Dallas vs Minnesota United?
Before kick-off our model rated a FC Dallas win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split FC Dallas 51%, draw 22%, Minnesota United 28%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.