Toronto FC vs Philadelphia Union Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Toronto FC v Philadelphia Union — Team-Based Signals
Toronto FC vs Philadelphia Union Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Toronto FC 3-3 Philadelphia Union — Actual Match Statistics
Toronto FC and Philadelphia Union shared the points in a 3-3 draw. Half-time: 0-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match split (36% / 27% / 38%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged both teams to score (57%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Toronto FC had 64% of the ball to Philadelphia Union's 36%, shots finished 12-12.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Toronto FC and 1.50 for Philadelphia Union.
What was the final score of Toronto FC vs Philadelphia Union?
Toronto FC 3-3 Philadelphia Union in the USA - Major League on 23/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Toronto FC vs Philadelphia Union?
Before kick-off our model rated an Philadelphia Union win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Toronto FC 36%, draw 27%, Philadelphia Union 38%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Philadelphia Union) went the other way.