Atlanta United vs New England Revolution Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Atlanta United v New England Revolution — Team-Based Signals
Atlanta United vs New England Revolution Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Atlanta United 1-2 New England Revolution — Actual Match Statistics
New England Revolution nicked a narrow win over Atlanta United 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match split (38% / 25% / 37%) promised a tight game; New England Revolution found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Atlanta United had 48% of the ball to New England Revolution's 52%, shots finished 23-7, expected goals 2.49 to 1.06 — on chances, Atlanta United could feel hard done by.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, New England Revolution led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Atlanta United and 1.83 for New England Revolution.
What was the final score of Atlanta United vs New England Revolution?
Atlanta United 1-2 New England Revolution in the USA - Major League on 23/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Atlanta United vs New England Revolution?
Before kick-off our model rated a Atlanta United win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Atlanta United 38%, draw 25%, New England Revolution 37%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Atlanta United) went the other way.