New York Red Bulls vs DC United Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
New York Red Bulls v DC United — Team-Based Signals
New York Red Bulls vs DC United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
New York Red Bulls 4-4 DC United — Actual Match Statistics
New York Red Bulls and DC United shared the points in a 4-4 draw. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was New York Red Bulls at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, New York Red Bulls had 51% of the ball to DC United's 49%, shots finished 13-14.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, New York Red Bulls had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for New York Red Bulls and 1.33 for DC United.
What was the final score of New York Red Bulls vs DC United?
New York Red Bulls 4-4 DC United in the USA - Major League on 23/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for New York Red Bulls vs DC United?
Before kick-off our model rated a New York Red Bulls win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split New York Red Bulls 48%, draw 21%, DC United 31%. The final score 4-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.