Orlando City vs Charlotte Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Orlando City v Charlotte — Team-Based Signals
Orlando City vs Charlotte Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Orlando City 4-1 Charlotte — Actual Match Statistics
Orlando City swept aside Charlotte 4-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was Charlotte at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (59%) came in.
On the day, Orlando City had 43% of the ball to Charlotte's 57%, shots finished 11-15, expected goals 1.52 to 1.36.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Orlando City had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Orlando City and 0.67 for Charlotte.
What was the final score of Orlando City vs Charlotte?
Orlando City 4-1 Charlotte in the USA - Major League on 23/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Orlando City vs Charlotte?
Before kick-off our model rated an Charlotte win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Orlando City 32%, draw 24%, Charlotte 43%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Charlotte) went the other way.