Atalanta II 1-1 Catania — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 26 Apr 2026

📅26/04/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.29
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
44%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.9
Over 2.5
44%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.7
No
52%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.2
2-3 Goals
37%
1.73
4-5 Goals
23%
3.3
6+ Goals
8%
12.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.2 — our 32% vs market 24.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
6%
1/X
11%
X/1
13%
X/2
17%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
27%
+0.2pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.8pp
44%
Away Win
46%
-2.1pp
56%
Under 2.5
49%
+7.5pp
44%
Over 2.5
51%
-7.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
55%
-6.5pp
52%
BTTS No
45%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atalanta II EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Catania EU Bookmakers 49%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -10%
0.86/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.18
-18% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -15%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
242 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atalanta II
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Catania
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
60% Ball Possession 40%
10 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
21.12.2025 Catania Catania 2-0 HT 1-0 Atalanta II Atalanta II İTC
18.05.2024 Catania Catania 0-1 HT 0-0 Atalanta II Atalanta II İTC
14.05.2024 Atalanta II Atalanta II 0-1 HT 0-0 Catania Catania İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atalanta II
1-1
AWAY Catania
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 13
1 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 9
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Atalanta II vs Catania
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atalanta II and Catania shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Catania at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Atalanta II had 56% of the ball to Catania's 44%, shots finished 13-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Catania led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Atalanta II and 1.00 for Catania.

What was the final score of Atalanta II vs Catania?

Atalanta II 1-1 Catania in the Italy - Serie C on 26/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atalanta II vs Catania?

Before kick-off our model rated an Catania win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Atalanta II 27%, draw 29%, Catania 44%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Catania), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Catania) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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