AFC Fylde 1-3 Rochdale — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 26 Dec 2024

📅26/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
3.17
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
38%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.15
Over 2.5
45%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.56
No
50%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
4.03
2-3 Goals
42%
1.8
4-5 Goals
19%
2.85
6+ Goals
10%
8.59
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.03 — our 29% vs market 18.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
5.13
1/2
7%
22.55
1/X
5%
13.6
X/1
14%
7.56
X/2
16%
4.7
X/X
15%
5.42
2/1
6%
34.0
2/2
15%
2.65
2/X
8%
13.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
28%
+5.8pp
28%
Draw
25%
+2.8pp
38%
Away Win
47%
-8.8pp
55%
Under 2.5
43%
+11.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
57%
-11.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
60%
-10.4pp
50%
BTTS No
40%
+10.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AFC Fylde EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Rochdale EU Bookmakers 51%
+4% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.83/1.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.40
+42% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / -13%
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
60 · 91% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 98 · 90%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 0.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AFC Fylde
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Rochdale
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
18 Total Shots 4
6 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 2
12.10.2024 AFC Fylde AFC Fylde 1-4 HT 0-0 Rochdale Rochdale FAK
01.01.2024 AFC Fylde AFC Fylde 2-0 HT 0-0 Rochdale Rochdale İBSL
26.12.2023 Rochdale Rochdale 2-0 HT 1-0 AFC Fylde AFC Fylde İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AFC Fylde
1-3
AWAY Rochdale
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 23
2 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 4
0 Passes 2
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH AFC Fylde vs Rochdale
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rochdale got the better of AFC Fylde 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 28% / 38% — and on the day Rochdale made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, AFC Fylde had 47% of the ball to Rochdale's 53%, shots finished 8-23.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Rochdale led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for AFC Fylde and 2.00 for Rochdale.

What was the final score of AFC Fylde vs Rochdale?

AFC Fylde 1-3 Rochdale in the England - National League on 26/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AFC Fylde vs Rochdale?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rochdale win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split AFC Fylde 34%, draw 28%, Rochdale 38%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rochdale) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rochdale) ✗ Under 2.5
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