Walsall 2-0 Doncaster Rovers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 26 Dec 2024

📅26/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.12
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
31%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.86
Over 2.5
51%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.7
No
48%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.13
2-3 Goals
40%
1.73
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
24%
3.39
6+ Goals
11%
13.35
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.39 — our 24% vs market 22.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.11
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
5%
12.85
X/1
15%
4.97
X/2
9%
6.65
X/X
11%
4.53
2/1
9%
27.0
2/2
16%
4.72
2/X
10%
13.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
43%
-1.3pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.9pp
31%
Away Win
29%
+2.2pp
49%
Under 2.5
50%
-1.4pp
51%
Over 2.5
50%
+1.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
55%
-2.4pp
48%
BTTS No
45%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Walsall EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Doncaster Rovers EU Bookmakers 33%
+6% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +17%
1.68/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.32
+13% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / -13%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
285 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 70%
23.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.4
21.6 Crosses 16.2
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Walsall
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Doncaster Rovers
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.86 xG 1.04
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
198 Passes 373
65% Pass Accuracy 78%
20 Box Touches 17
16 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 2
09.04.2024 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers 2-1 HT 1-0 Walsall Walsall İN2
02.03.2024 Walsall Walsall 3-1 HT 1-0 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers İN2
08.05.2023 Walsall Walsall 2-1 HT 0-0 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers İN2
02.12.2022 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers 0-2 HT 0-0 Walsall Walsall İN2
10.08.2021 Walsall Walsall 0-0 HT 0-0 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers İNLK
30.03.2019 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers 3-1 HT 3-1 Walsall Walsall İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Walsall
2-0
AWAY Doncaster Rovers
1.27 xG 1.19
43% Ball Possession 57%
14 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 4
175 Passes 261
64% Pass Accuracy 72%
28 Box Touches 18
24 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Walsall vs Doncaster Rovers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Walsall saw off Doncaster Rovers 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Walsall as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Walsall had 43% of the ball to Doncaster Rovers's 57%, shots finished 14-13, expected goals 1.27 to 1.19.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Walsall had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Walsall and 1.17 for Doncaster Rovers.

What was the final score of Walsall vs Doncaster Rovers?

Walsall 2-0 Doncaster Rovers in the England - 2nd Division on 26/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Walsall vs Doncaster Rovers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Walsall win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Walsall 42%, draw 27%, Doncaster Rovers 31%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Walsall) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Walsall) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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