Olancho 1-1 Real Espana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 28 Sep 2025

📅28/09/2025 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.25
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
24%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
1.78
Over 2.5
58%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.73
No
43%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
13%
X/2
6%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
41%
+7.2pp
28%
Draw
30%
-1.7pp
24%
Away Win
30%
-5.6pp
42%
Under 2.5
52%
-10.4pp
58%
Over 2.5
48%
+10.4pp
57%
BTTS Yes
54%
+2.9pp
43%
BTTS No
46%
-2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Olancho EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Espana EU Bookmakers 33%
+2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -5%
1.48/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.27
+9% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +0%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
383 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Olancho
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Real Espana
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
23.07.2025 Real Espana Real Espana 4-1 HT 1-0 Olancho Olancho HON
04.05.2025 Real Espana Real Espana 1-0 HT 0-0 Olancho Olancho HON
02.03.2025 Olancho Olancho 0-3 HT 0-1 Real Espana Real Espana HON
21.10.2024 Real Espana Real Espana 1-1 HT 1-1 Olancho Olancho HON
12.08.2024 Olancho Olancho 3-1 HT 3-0 Real Espana Real Espana HON
31.03.2024 Real Espana Real Espana 1-1 HT 1-1 Olancho Olancho HON
POST-MATCH Olancho vs Real Espana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Olancho and Real Espana couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Olancho at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (57%) landed while over 2.5 goals (58%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Real Espana led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Olancho and 1.83 for Real Espana.

What was the final score of Olancho vs Real Espana?

Olancho 1-1 Real Espana in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 28/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Olancho vs Real Espana?

Before kick-off our model rated a Olancho win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Olancho 48%, draw 28%, Real Espana 24%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Olancho), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Olancho) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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