Sao Paulo vs Flamengo Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sao Paulo v Flamengo — Team-Based Signals
Sao Paulo vs Flamengo Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 1-0
Flamengo
BR1
Sao Paulo 2-1 Flamengo — Actual Match Statistics
Sao Paulo squeezed past Flamengo 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Flamengo at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Sao Paulo had 41% of the ball to Flamengo's 59%, shots finished 10-15, expected goals 0.78 to 2.40 — the balance of chances actually favoured Flamengo.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Sao Paulo and 1.00 for Flamengo.
What was the final score of Sao Paulo vs Flamengo?
Sao Paulo 2-1 Flamengo in the Brazil - Serie A on 29/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sao Paulo vs Flamengo?
Before kick-off our model rated an Flamengo win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Sao Paulo 25%, draw 31%, Flamengo 44%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.