Kashima Antlers 1-0 Vissel Kobe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 29 Mar 2025

📅29/03/2025 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.99
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
36%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.67
Over 2.5
43%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.85
No
58%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
34%
2.7
2-3 Goals
38%
1.76
4-5 Goals
21%
4.16
6+ Goals
7%
20.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.7 — our 34% vs market 30.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
5.09
1/2
4%
29.5
1/X
6%
13.45
X/1
14%
6.77
X/2
11%
5.1
X/X
17%
4.05
2/1
4%
35.0
2/2
21%
3.26
2/X
4%
12.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
BTTS No — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
30%
+6.7pp
27%
Draw
29%
-2.5pp
37%
Away Win
41%
-4.2pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.3pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.3pp
42%
BTTS Yes
50%
-8.3pp
58%
BTTS No
50%
+8.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kashima Antlers EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Vissel Kobe EU Bookmakers 45%
+14% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +1%
1.17/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.09
+41% / +41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +1%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
326 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 77%
18.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.3
18.7 Crosses 19.9
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kashima Antlers
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Vissel Kobe
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
0.84 xG 1.98
51% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
323 Passes 293
74% Pass Accuracy 74%
18 Box Touches 28
16 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 2
25.09.2024 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers 0-3 HT 0-1 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe JPK
30.06.2024 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 3-1 HT 2-1 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers JAP
19.05.2024 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers 1-0 HT 0-0 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe JAP
21.10.2023 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 3-1 HT 2-0 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers JAP
15.04.2023 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers 1-5 HT 0-2 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe JAP
07.09.2022 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 0-1 HT 0-0 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers JPK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kashima Antlers
1-0
AWAY Vissel Kobe
1.63 xG 0.47
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 7
215 Passes 298
69% Pass Accuracy 74%
18 Box Touches 18
15 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Kashima Antlers vs Vissel Kobe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kashima Antlers edged past Vissel Kobe 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 27% / 37% — and on the day Kashima Antlers made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, Kashima Antlers had 43% of the ball to Vissel Kobe's 57%, shots finished 9-6, expected goals 1.63 to 0.47.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vissel Kobe led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Kashima Antlers and 2.33 for Vissel Kobe.

What was the final score of Kashima Antlers vs Vissel Kobe?

Kashima Antlers 1-0 Vissel Kobe in the Japan - J1 League on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kashima Antlers vs Vissel Kobe?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kashima Antlers win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Kashima Antlers 37%, draw 27%, Vissel Kobe 37%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (37/27/37) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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