Los Angeles Galaxy vs San Jose Earthquakes Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Los Angeles Galaxy v San Jose Earthquakes — Team-Based Signals
Los Angeles Galaxy vs San Jose Earthquakes Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Los Angeles Galaxy 0-1 San Jose Earthquakes — Actual Match Statistics
San Jose Earthquakes nicked a narrow win over Los Angeles Galaxy 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 26% / 36% — and on the day San Jose Earthquakes made the difference. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Los Angeles Galaxy had 55% of the ball to San Jose Earthquakes's 45%, shots finished 13-13, expected goals 1.31 to 1.07.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Los Angeles Galaxy had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.83 goals for Los Angeles Galaxy and 1.50 for San Jose Earthquakes.
What was the final score of Los Angeles Galaxy vs San Jose Earthquakes?
Los Angeles Galaxy 0-1 San Jose Earthquakes in the USA - Major League on 29/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Los Angeles Galaxy vs San Jose Earthquakes?
Before kick-off our model rated a Los Angeles Galaxy win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Los Angeles Galaxy 39%, draw 26%, San Jose Earthquakes 36%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.