San Jose Earthquakes vs Los Angeles Galaxy Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
San Jose Earthquakes v Los Angeles Galaxy — Team-Based Signals
San Jose Earthquakes vs Los Angeles Galaxy Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
San Jose Earthquakes 1-1 Los Angeles Galaxy — Actual Match Statistics
San Jose Earthquakes and Los Angeles Galaxy couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match lean was San Jose Earthquakes at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (61%) landed while over 2.5 goals (61%) missed.
On the day, San Jose Earthquakes had 49% of the ball to Los Angeles Galaxy's 51%, shots finished 13-13, expected goals 0.60 to 2.42.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Los Angeles Galaxy led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for San Jose Earthquakes and 2.50 for Los Angeles Galaxy.
What was the final score of San Jose Earthquakes vs Los Angeles Galaxy?
San Jose Earthquakes 1-1 Los Angeles Galaxy in the USA - Major League on 29/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for San Jose Earthquakes vs Los Angeles Galaxy?
Before kick-off our model rated a San Jose Earthquakes win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split San Jose Earthquakes 47%, draw 28%, Los Angeles Galaxy 25%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (San Jose Earthquakes), Over 2.5 went the other way.