Phoenix Rising vs Sacramento Republic Prediction — Model Probabilities
Phoenix Rising v Sacramento Republic — Team-Based Signals
Phoenix Rising vs Sacramento Republic Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Phoenix Rising 2-0 Sacramento Republic — Actual Match Statistics
Phoenix Rising got the better of Sacramento Republic 2-0.
Our pre-match split (37% / 24% / 39%) promised a tight game; Phoenix Rising found the edge the numbers couldn't. Nothing to argue with on goals either — under 2.5 goals (55%) came home.
Under the surface, shots finished 23-6, expected goals 3.77 to 1.98.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sacramento Republic led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.17 a game for Phoenix Rising against 1.67 for Sacramento Republic.
Phoenix Rising vs Sacramento Republic Result & Final Score
Phoenix Rising 2-0 Sacramento Republic in the USL Championship on 31/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Phoenix Rising vs Sacramento Republic Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an Sacramento Republic win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Phoenix Rising 37%, draw 24%, Sacramento Republic 39%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Sacramento Republic) went the other way.