Coventry 1-2 Sheffield Wednesday — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.72
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
26%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.86
Over 2.5
48%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.82
No
50%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.29
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.58
6+ Goals
11%
14.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.2
1/2
10%
34.5
1/X
9%
13.95
X/1
16%
4.06
X/2
7%
9.95
X/X
12%
4.72
2/1
11%
24.85
2/2
8%
7.82
2/X
5%
14.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
54%
-6.5pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.2pp
26%
Away Win
20%
+6.4pp
52%
Under 2.5
50%
+1.6pp
48%
Over 2.5
50%
-1.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.9pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Coventry EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Sheffield Wednesday EU Bookmakers 22%
-13% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +7%
1.58/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.48
-23% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -13%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
340 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 71%
29.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.9
23.3 Crosses 17.0
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Coventry
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Sheffield Wednesday
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.13 xG 1.11
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
346 Passes 268
79% Pass Accuracy 74%
20 Box Touches 18
15 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 3
06.02.2024 Coventry Coventry 4-1 HT 1-1 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday FAK
26.01.2024 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday 1-1 HT 0-1 Coventry Coventry FAK
20.01.2024 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday 1-2 HT 0-1 Coventry Coventry İNCL
26.12.2023 Coventry Coventry 2-0 HT 1-0 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday İNCL
27.01.2021 Coventry Coventry 2-0 HT 0-0 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday İNCL
19.12.2020 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday 1-0 HT 0-0 Coventry Coventry İNCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Coventry
1-2
AWAY Sheffield Wednesday
0.73 xG 1.50
60% Ball Possession 40%
13 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
332 Passes 195
81% Pass Accuracy 73%
15 Box Touches 26
22 Crosses 23
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Coventry vs Sheffield Wednesday
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sheffield Wednesday squeezed past Coventry 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Coventry at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Coventry had 60% of the ball to Sheffield Wednesday's 40%, shots finished 13-13, expected goals 0.73 to 1.50.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Coventry had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Coventry and 0.67 for Sheffield Wednesday.

What was the final score of Coventry vs Sheffield Wednesday?

Coventry 1-2 Sheffield Wednesday in the England - Championship on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Coventry vs Sheffield Wednesday?

Before kick-off our model rated a Coventry win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Coventry 48%, draw 26%, Sheffield Wednesday 26%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Coventry) ✗ Under 2.5
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