FC Eindhoven 0-1 ADO Den Haag — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 12 Sep 2025

📅12/09/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.46
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
53%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.29
Over 2.5
60%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.55
No
41%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.37
2-3 Goals
40%
1.84
4-5 Goals
26%
2.69
6+ Goals
13%
7.34
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
5.85
1/2 EV+ ✗
11%
20.25
1/X
5%
14.0
X/1
8%
8.41
X/2
15%
4.6
X/X
9%
5.8
2/1
5%
34.0
2/2
27%
2.32
2/X
8%
13.05
Value flag · 1/2 at 20.25 — our 11% vs market 2.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
25%
-0.1pp
22%
Draw
23%
-1.7pp
53%
Away Win
52%
+1.8pp
40%
Under 2.5
40%
+0.3pp
60%
Over 2.5
60%
-0.3pp
59%
BTTS Yes
60%
-1.8pp
41%
BTTS No
40%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Eindhoven EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY ADO Den Haag EU Bookmakers 56%
+4% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
1.16/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.71/1.09
-19% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +36% / +17%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
309 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 366 · 80%
16.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.6
16.8 Crosses 17.4
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Eindhoven
0W-3D-3L
AWAY ADO Den Haag
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.03 xG 1.17
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 7
289 Passes 376
73% Pass Accuracy 79%
15 Box Touches 24
14 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 1
31.01.2025 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag 2-1 HT 0-1 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven HOL2
01.11.2024 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven 0-4 HT 0-3 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag HOL2
20.04.2024 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag 1-1 HT 1-0 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven HOL2
18.09.2023 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven 1-1 HT 1-1 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag HOL2
13.03.2023 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven 1-1 HT 0-1 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag HOL2
07.10.2022 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag 1-0 HT 0-0 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Eindhoven
0-1
AWAY ADO Den Haag
0.32 xG 2.41
34% Ball Possession 66%
4 Total Shots 26
3 Shots on Target 12
1 Corners 9
185 Passes 450
67% Pass Accuracy 86%
9 Box Touches 44
6 Crosses 35
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH FC Eindhoven vs ADO Den Haag
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ADO Den Haag nicked a narrow win over FC Eindhoven 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had ADO Den Haag as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, FC Eindhoven had 34% of the ball to ADO Den Haag's 66%, shots finished 4-26, expected goals 0.32 to 2.41 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold ADO Den Haag's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, ADO Den Haag led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for FC Eindhoven and 1.67 for ADO Den Haag.

What was the final score of FC Eindhoven vs ADO Den Haag?

FC Eindhoven 0-1 ADO Den Haag in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 12/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Eindhoven vs ADO Den Haag?

Before kick-off our model rated an ADO Den Haag win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split FC Eindhoven 25%, draw 22%, ADO Den Haag 53%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (ADO Den Haag) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (ADO Den Haag) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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