Minnesota United 0-1 Colorado Rapids — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 14 May 2026

📅14/05/2026 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.72
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
23%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.23
Over 2.5
49%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.6
No
50%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
30%
4.39
2-3 Goals
38%
1.86
4-5 Goals
22%
2.79
6+ Goals
10%
7.82
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.39 — our 30% vs market 17.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.16
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
5%
13.2
X/1
21%
4.48
X/2
9%
9.36
X/X
11%
5.78
2/1
9%
20.5
2/2
9%
6.75
2/X
8%
14.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
54%
-1.6pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.5pp
23%
Away Win
22%
+1.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
41%
+10.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
59%
-10.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-8.4pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Minnesota United EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Colorado Rapids EU Bookmakers 25%
-3% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -5%
1.83/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/1.85
+1% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -13%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
407 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 364 · 82%
28.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.0
19.2 Crosses 15.9
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Minnesota United
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Colorado Rapids
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.65 xG 1.44
44% Ball Possession 56%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
292 Passes 385
78% Pass Accuracy 83%
24 Box Touches 24
16 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.09.2025 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids 1-1 HT 1-0 Minnesota United Minnesota United ABD
11.08.2025 Minnesota United Minnesota United 1-2 HT 0-0 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids ABD
29.09.2024 Minnesota United Minnesota United 3-0 HT 1-0 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids ABD
26.05.2024 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids 3-3 HT 1-3 Minnesota United Minnesota United ABD
31.08.2023 Minnesota United Minnesota United 3-0 HT 3-0 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids ABD
19.03.2023 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids 1-2 HT 0-0 Minnesota United Minnesota United ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Minnesota United
0-1
AWAY Colorado Rapids
1.16 xG 0.64
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 5
2 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 5
391 Passes 314
81% Pass Accuracy 78%
25 Box Touches 15
23 Crosses 6
5 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Minnesota United vs Colorado Rapids
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Colorado Rapids edged past Minnesota United 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Minnesota United at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Minnesota United had 55% of the ball to Colorado Rapids's 45%, shots finished 12-5, expected goals 1.16 to 0.64 — the balance of chances actually favoured Minnesota United.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Minnesota United had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Minnesota United and 1.17 for Colorado Rapids.

What was the final score of Minnesota United vs Colorado Rapids?

Minnesota United 0-1 Colorado Rapids in the USA - Major League on 14/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Minnesota United vs Colorado Rapids?

Before kick-off our model rated a Minnesota United win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Minnesota United 53%, draw 24%, Colorado Rapids 23%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Minnesota United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Minnesota United) ✓ Under 2.5
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