Colorado Rapids 1-1 Minnesota United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 28 Sep 2025

📅28/09/2025 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.96
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
32%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.38
Over 2.5
54%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.46
No
45%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
47%
-3.8pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.5pp
32%
Away Win
29%
+3.2pp
46%
Under 2.5
38%
+7.7pp
54%
Over 2.5
62%
-7.7pp
55%
BTTS Yes
64%
-9.5pp
45%
BTTS No
36%
+9.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Colorado Rapids EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Minnesota United EU Bookmakers 32%
+1% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +35%
1.58/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/1.47
-15% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +31%
47% Ball Possession 53%
15 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
349 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 382 · 82%
24.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.6
19.6 Crosses 14.4
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Colorado Rapids
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Minnesota United
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
1.76 xG 1.74
56% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 5
363 Passes 280
82% Pass Accuracy 76%
24 Box Touches 25
22 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
11.08.2025 Minnesota United Minnesota United 1-2 HT 0-0 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids ABD
29.09.2024 Minnesota United Minnesota United 3-0 HT 1-0 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids ABD
26.05.2024 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids 3-3 HT 1-3 Minnesota United Minnesota United ABD
31.08.2023 Minnesota United Minnesota United 3-0 HT 3-0 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids ABD
19.03.2023 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids 1-2 HT 0-0 Minnesota United Minnesota United ABD
07.08.2022 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids 4-3 HT 3-2 Minnesota United Minnesota United ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Colorado Rapids
1-1
AWAY Minnesota United
1.27 xG 0.80
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
423 Passes 293
86% Pass Accuracy 84%
20 Box Touches 19
30 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Colorado Rapids vs Minnesota United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Colorado Rapids and Minnesota United shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Colorado Rapids at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Colorado Rapids had 59% of the ball to Minnesota United's 41%, shots finished 14-13, expected goals 1.27 to 0.80.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Minnesota United led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Colorado Rapids and 2.50 for Minnesota United.

What was the final score of Colorado Rapids vs Minnesota United?

Colorado Rapids 1-1 Minnesota United in the USA - Major League on 28/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Colorado Rapids vs Minnesota United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Colorado Rapids win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Colorado Rapids 43%, draw 25%, Minnesota United 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Colorado Rapids), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Colorado Rapids) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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