Katar 2-1 Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 14 Oct 2025

📅14/10/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.47
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
35%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.67
Over 2.5
48%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.88
No
47%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.57
2-3 Goals
41%
1.72
4-5 Goals
20%
4.13
6+ Goals
8%
20.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
20%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
37%
+1.7pp
26%
Draw
29%
-2.4pp
35%
Away Win
34%
+0.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
56%
-4.3pp
48%
Over 2.5
44%
+4.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
49%
+4.4pp
47%
BTTS No
51%
-4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Katar EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri EU Bookmakers 38%
+31% / +31% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
0.92/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.08
+52% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +103%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
292 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 79%
16.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.8
11.1 Crosses 12.4
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Katar
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.56 xG 1.30
52% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
338 Passes 329
81% Pass Accuracy 80%
19 Box Touches 14
14 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.12.2024 Katar Katar 1-1 HT 1-1 Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri AKK
19.11.2024 Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri 5-0 HT 3-0 Katar Katar DKE
05.09.2024 Katar Katar 1-3 HT 1-0 Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri DKE
13.01.2023 Katar Katar 1-1 HT 0-0 Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri AKK
10.12.2021 Katar Katar 5-0 HT 5-0 Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri ARAPK
02.12.2019 Katar Katar 4-2 HT 2-1 Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri AKK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Katar
2-1
AWAY Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri
0.77 xG 0.89
41% Ball Possession 59%
7 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 2
210 Passes 349
76% Pass Accuracy 86%
9 Box Touches 17
13 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Katar vs Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Katar edged past Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 26% / 35% — and on the day Katar made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Katar had 41% of the ball to Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri's 59%, shots finished 7-15, expected goals 0.77 to 0.89.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Katar and 2.00 for Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri.

What was the final score of Katar vs Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri?

Katar 2-1 Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri in the World Cup Qualifiers on 14/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Katar vs Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri?

Before kick-off our model rated a Katar win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Katar 38%, draw 26%, Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri 35%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Katar), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Katar) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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