Utrecht II 3-0 FC Eindhoven — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 17 Apr 2026

📅17/04/2026 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.18
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
40%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.51
Over 2.5
48%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.43
No
50%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
5.04
2-3 Goals
40%
1.92
4-5 Goals
21%
2.55
6+ Goals
11%
6.12
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 5.04 — our 28% vs market 14.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.04
1/2
7%
25.0
1/X
7%
12.0
X/1
15%
5.62
X/2 EV+ ✗
17%
6.66
X/X
11%
5.79
2/1
6%
21.8
2/2
16%
3.96
2/X
6%
12.25
Value flag · X/2 at 6.66 — our 17% vs market 11.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
42%
-5.8pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.3pp
40%
Away Win
33%
+7.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
36%
+15.6pp
48%
Over 2.5
64%
-15.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
66%
-16.2pp
50%
BTTS No
34%
+16.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Utrecht II EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Eindhoven EU Bookmakers 37%
-12% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +13%
1.33/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/1.01
-28% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +32%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
356 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 77%
21.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.2
15.2 Crosses 20.8
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Utrecht II
1W-0D-5L
AWAY FC Eindhoven
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
0.82 xG 1.97
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 4
387 Passes 351
81% Pass Accuracy 79%
16 Box Touches 23
14 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 1
08.08.2025 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven 1-0 HT 0-0 Utrecht II Utrecht II HOL2
23.02.2025 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven 1-2 HT 1-0 Utrecht II Utrecht II HOL2
09.12.2024 Utrecht II Utrecht II 0-4 HT 0-2 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven HOL2
11.03.2024 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven 3-0 HT 2-0 Utrecht II Utrecht II HOL2
15.12.2023 Utrecht II Utrecht II 2-5 HT 1-1 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven HOL2
28.04.2023 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven 2-0 HT 2-0 Utrecht II Utrecht II HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Utrecht II
3-0
AWAY FC Eindhoven
2.88 xG 1.46
48% Ball Possession 52%
18 Total Shots 18
7 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 11
255 Passes 268
75% Pass Accuracy 74%
31 Box Touches 25
12 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
FAQ Utrecht II vs FC Eindhoven
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Utrecht II ran out comfortable winners over FC Eindhoven 3-0 in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 17 Apr 2026. Half-time: 2-0.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Utrecht II had 48% of the ball to FC Eindhoven's 52%, shots finished 18-18, expected goals 2.88 to 1.46.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Eindhoven lead the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Utrecht II and 2.67 for FC Eindhoven.

What was the final score of Utrecht II vs FC Eindhoven?

Utrecht II 3-0 FC Eindhoven in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 17/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Utrecht II vs FC Eindhoven?

Before kick-off our model rated an FC Eindhoven win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Utrecht II 36%, draw 24%, FC Eindhoven 40%. The final score 3-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (FC Eindhoven) ✗ Under 2.5
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