VVV-Venlo 4-0 Emmen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 17 Oct 2025

📅17/10/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.38
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
34%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.38
Over 2.5
56%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.46
No
44%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.83
2-3 Goals
36%
1.92
4-5 Goals
26%
2.63
6+ Goals
12%
6.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
3.5
1/2
7%
23.55
1/X
7%
12.55
X/1
13%
6.04
X/2
10%
6.05
X/X
10%
5.83
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
23.55
2/2
18%
3.51
2/X
6%
12.55
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.55 — our 8% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
38%
+3.5pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.2pp
35%
Away Win
37%
-2.3pp
44%
Under 2.5
38%
+6.3pp
56%
Over 2.5
62%
-6.3pp
56%
BTTS Yes
64%
-8.3pp
44%
BTTS No
36%
+8.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME VVV-Venlo EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Emmen EU Bookmakers 40%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -19%
1.70/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.26
-13% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / -1%
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
313 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 358 · 79%
24.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.6
21.5 Crosses 18.4
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME VVV-Venlo
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Emmen
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.98 xG 1.86
45% Ball Possession 55%
14 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
283 Passes 388
73% Pass Accuracy 80%
19 Box Touches 25
17 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.05.2025 Emmen Emmen 2-1 HT 1-0 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo HOL2
22.11.2024 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo 0-2 HT 0-1 Emmen Emmen HOL2
08.03.2024 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo 2-0 HT 0-0 Emmen Emmen HOL2
18.08.2023 Emmen Emmen 2-2 HT 1-2 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo HOL2
11.01.2023 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo 2-3 HT 0-2 Emmen Emmen HOK
19.03.2022 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo 0-2 HT 0-0 Emmen Emmen HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME VVV-Venlo
4-0
AWAY Emmen
2.28 xG 1.03
32% Ball Possession 68%
14 Total Shots 15
7 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 8
199 Passes 470
75% Pass Accuracy 85%
20 Box Touches 31
10 Crosses 33
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH VVV-Venlo vs Emmen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

VVV-Venlo cruised past Emmen 4-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had VVV-Venlo as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (56%) landed while both teams to score (56%) missed.

On the day, VVV-Venlo had 32% of the ball to Emmen's 68%, shots finished 14-15, expected goals 2.28 to 1.03.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Emmen led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for VVV-Venlo and 1.83 for Emmen.

What was the final score of VVV-Venlo vs Emmen?

VVV-Venlo 4-0 Emmen in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 17/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for VVV-Venlo vs Emmen?

Before kick-off our model rated a VVV-Venlo win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split VVV-Venlo 42%, draw 24%, Emmen 35%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (VVV-Venlo), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (VVV-Venlo) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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