Nashville SC vs Toronto FC Prediction — Model Probabilities
Nashville SC v Toronto FC — Team-Based Signals
Nashville SC vs Toronto FC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Nashville SC 1-0 Toronto FC — Actual Match Statistics
Nashville SC edged past Toronto FC 1-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Nashville SC as the likeliest winner at 72%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.
The match data tells the story: possession split 51% to 49% in Nashville SC's favour, shots finished 10-7, expected goals 2.03 to 0.46 — on chances created, Nashville SC won this by more than the scoreboard admits.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nashville SC had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.67 a game for Nashville SC against 1.17 for Toronto FC.
Nashville SC vs Toronto FC Result & Final Score
Nashville SC 1 - 0 Toronto FC in the USA - Major League on 20/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Nashville SC vs Toronto FC Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Nashville SC win the most likely single outcome at about 72%, with the full match-result split Nashville SC 72%, draw 17%, Toronto FC 11%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nashville SC), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.