San Jose Earthquakes vs Sporting Kansas City Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
San Jose Earthquakes v Sporting Kansas City — Team-Based Signals
San Jose Earthquakes vs Sporting Kansas City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
San Jose Earthquakes
ABD
3-0
HT 2-0
San Jose Earthquakes
ABD
San Jose Earthquakes 3-0 Sporting Kansas City — Actual Match Statistics
San Jose Earthquakes cruised past Sporting Kansas City 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had San Jose Earthquakes as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, San Jose Earthquakes had 44% of the ball to Sporting Kansas City's 56%, shots finished 17-7, expected goals 3.03 to 0.46.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sporting Kansas City led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for San Jose Earthquakes and 2.17 for Sporting Kansas City.
What was the final score of San Jose Earthquakes vs Sporting Kansas City?
San Jose Earthquakes 3-0 Sporting Kansas City in the USA - Major League on 22/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for San Jose Earthquakes vs Sporting Kansas City?
Before kick-off our model rated a San Jose Earthquakes win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split San Jose Earthquakes 53%, draw 23%, Sporting Kansas City 24%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (San Jose Earthquakes), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.