Sacramento Republic vs Phoenix Rising Prediction, Probabilities & Odds — USL Championship, 23 Aug 2026

📅23/08/2026 · 🕒06:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
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MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
54%
1.8
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
23%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
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Both Teams to Score
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Total Goals
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Half Time / Full Time
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STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sacramento Republic
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Phoenix Rising
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.24 xG 1.68
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
285 Passes 378
78% Pass Accuracy 83%
21 Box Touches 19
15 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 4
31.05.2026 Phoenix Rising Phoenix Rising 2-0 HT 2-0 Sacramento Republic Sacramento Republic USLP
05.04.2026 Sacramento Republic Sacramento Republic 2-0 HT 2-0 Phoenix Rising Phoenix Rising USLP
14.09.2025 Sacramento Republic Sacramento Republic 2-2 HT 2-0 Phoenix Rising Phoenix Rising USLP
19.04.2025 Phoenix Rising Phoenix Rising 2-2 HT 1-2 Sacramento Republic Sacramento Republic USLP
15.09.2024 Sacramento Republic Sacramento Republic 2-0 HT 1-0 Phoenix Rising Phoenix Rising USLP
05.05.2024 Phoenix Rising Phoenix Rising 1-1 HT 0-1 Sacramento Republic Sacramento Republic USLP
PREVIEW Sacramento Republic vs Phoenix Rising
IDDAAKOLIK MATCH PREVIEW

There's a lean to Sacramento Republic in the data, with more than enough uncertainty to keep this interesting.

Sacramento Republic arrive on a real home run — 4 wins from the last 5 in the league.

The rivalry ledger says that across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sacramento Republic have the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Sacramento Republic and 1.17 for Phoenix Rising.

Sacramento Republic vs Phoenix Rising Kick-off Time

Sacramento Republic play Phoenix Rising in the USL Championship on 23/08/2026, kick-off 06:00 (Istanbul · GMT+3).

Sacramento Republic vs Phoenix Rising Match Prediction & Odds

Our model's prediction for Sacramento Republic vs Phoenix Rising is a Sacramento Republic win at about 54% probability, priced 1.8 at EU bookmakers. The full match-result split is Sacramento Republic 54%, draw 23%, Phoenix Rising 23%. These are probability estimates, not certainties — the most likely outcome still loses much of the time.

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