Benevento 2-2 Audace Cerignola — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 26 Apr 2026

📅26/04/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.53
Draw
19%
3.94
Away
17%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.07
Over 2.5
58%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.81
No
44%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.67
2-3 Goals
36%
1.77
4-5 Goals
29%
2.99
6+ Goals
10%
9.79
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
25%
X/2
5%
X/X
7%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
61%
+2.9pp
19%
Draw
22%
-2.7pp
17%
Away Win
17%
-0.1pp
42%
Under 2.5
44%
-2.8pp
58%
Over 2.5
56%
+2.8pp
56%
BTTS Yes
51%
+4.2pp
44%
BTTS No
49%
-4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Benevento EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Audace Cerignola EU Bookmakers 21%
-4% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -6%
1.81/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/2.18
+10% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -32%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
365 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Benevento
2W-3D-0L
AWAY Audace Cerignola
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
19.12.2025 Audace Cerignola Audace Cerignola 0-4 HT 0-3 Benevento Benevento İTC
13.04.2025 Audace Cerignola Audace Cerignola 2-4 HT 0-2 Benevento Benevento İTC
30.11.2024 Benevento Benevento 1-1 HT 0-0 Audace Cerignola Audace Cerignola İTC
15.02.2024 Benevento Benevento 1-1 HT 1-0 Audace Cerignola Audace Cerignola İTC
08.10.2023 Audace Cerignola Audace Cerignola 0-0 HT 0-0 Benevento Benevento İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Benevento
2-2
AWAY Audace Cerignola
61% Ball Possession 39%
18 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Benevento vs Audace Cerignola
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Benevento and Audace Cerignola shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

This one beat our numbers. Benevento carried 64% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Benevento had 61% of the ball to Audace Cerignola's 39%, shots finished 18-11.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Benevento had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Benevento and 0.80 for Audace Cerignola.

What was the final score of Benevento vs Audace Cerignola?

Benevento 2-2 Audace Cerignola in the Italy - Serie C on 26/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Benevento vs Audace Cerignola?

Before kick-off our model rated a Benevento win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Benevento 64%, draw 19%, Audace Cerignola 17%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Benevento) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Benevento) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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