Casertana 1-1 SSC Giugliano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 26 Apr 2026

📅26/04/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
2.0
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
22%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.8
Over 2.5
50%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.81
No
45%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.92
2-3 Goals
44%
1.71
4-5 Goals
22%
3.57
6+ Goals
8%
15.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
20%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
46%
+4.6pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.2pp
22%
Away Win
27%
-4.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
52%
-1.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
48%
+1.4pp
55%
BTTS Yes
51%
+3.6pp
45%
BTTS No
49%
-3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Casertana EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY SSC Giugliano EU Bookmakers 30%
+8% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -8%
1.78/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.40
+33% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -10%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
309 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Casertana
2W-3D-0L
AWAY SSC Giugliano
1.80 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
46% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
19.12.2025 SSC Giugliano SSC Giugliano 0-3 HT 0-2 Casertana Casertana İTC
07.04.2025 SSC Giugliano SSC Giugliano 1-1 HT 1-1 Casertana Casertana İTC
23.11.2024 Casertana Casertana 1-1 HT 1-0 SSC Giugliano SSC Giugliano İTC
17.08.2024 Casertana Casertana 1-1 HT 0-1 SSC Giugliano SSC Giugliano İTCK
18.12.2023 Casertana Casertana 3-1 HT 1-0 SSC Giugliano SSC Giugliano İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Casertana
1-1
AWAY SSC Giugliano
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 3
4 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Casertana vs SSC Giugliano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Casertana and SSC Giugliano couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Casertana at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Casertana had 58% of the ball to SSC Giugliano's 42%, shots finished 14-3.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Casertana had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.80 goals for Casertana and 0.80 for SSC Giugliano.

What was the final score of Casertana vs SSC Giugliano?

Casertana 1-1 SSC Giugliano in the Italy - Serie C on 26/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Casertana vs SSC Giugliano?

Before kick-off our model rated a Casertana win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Casertana 51%, draw 27%, SSC Giugliano 22%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Casertana) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Casertana) ✓ BTTS Yes
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