Real Sociedad 4-1 Osasuna — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 30 Jul 2025

📅30/07/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.96
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
26%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
55%
1.68
Over
45%
1.98
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.88
No
50%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1
29%
2.78
2-3
48%
1.79
4-5
19%
4.31
6+
4%
21.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.81
1/2
1%
35.0
1/X
5%
14.05
X/1
17%
4.47
X/2
11%
7.17
X/X
18%
4.34
2/1
2%
27.0
2/2
14%
5.76
2/X
5%
14.95
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Real Sociedad The Market 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Osasuna The Market 29%
Strong Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Bad
1.29 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.07
0.95 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.43
Weak Attack Strength Strong
Strong Defense Strength Average
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
303 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 8
Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Sociedad
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Osasuna
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.83 xG 0.68
65% Ball Possession 34%
16 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
445 Passes 188
85% Pass Accuracy 68%
34 Box Touches 14
28 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 3
06.02.2025 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 2-0 HT 2-0 Osasuna Osasuna İSPK
02.02.2025 Osasuna Osasuna 2-1 HT 1-0 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad İS1
27.10.2024 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 0-2 HT 0-2 Osasuna Osasuna İS1
10.02.2024 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 0-1 HT 0-0 Osasuna Osasuna İS1
17.01.2024 Osasuna Osasuna 0-2 HT 0-0 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad İSPK
02.12.2023 Osasuna Osasuna 1-1 HT 1-1 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad İS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Sociedad
4 - 1
AWAY Osasuna
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 5
9 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 0
REVIEW Real Sociedad vs Osasuna
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Real Sociedad dismantled Osasuna 4-1. Half-time: 1-0. With 5 goals, entertainment was never the problem.

True to our pre-match read, our model had Real Sociedad as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The one blemish: under 2.5 goals (55%) never looked like landing.

The match data tells the story: Real Sociedad had 52% of the ball to Osasuna's 48%, shots finished 12-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Osasuna led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Real Sociedad and 1.00 for Osasuna.

Real Sociedad vs Osasuna Result & Final Score

Real Sociedad 4 - 1 Osasuna in the Friendlies on 30/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Real Sociedad vs Osasuna Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Sociedad win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Real Sociedad 46%, draw 28%, Osasuna 26%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Real Sociedad) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Real Sociedad) ✗ Under 2.5
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