Coventry 1-1 Sheffield Wednesday — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 11 Jan 2025

📅11/01/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.96
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
23%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.95
Over 2.5
53%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.68
No
47%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.47
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
25%
3.25
6+ Goals
12%
11.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.72
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.15
X/1
16%
4.63
X/2
11%
7.5
X/X
7%
4.86
2/1
8%
24.7
2/2
7%
5.37
2/X EV+ ✗
12%
13.6
Value flag · 2/X at 13.6 — our 12% vs market 4.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
47%
+2.5pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.5pp
24%
Away Win
26%
-3.0pp
47%
Under 2.5
48%
-0.4pp
53%
Over 2.5
52%
+0.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.6pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Coventry EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Sheffield Wednesday EU Bookmakers 30%
+21% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
1.02/0.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.44
-41% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +19%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
331 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 9.0
Crosses 10.0
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Coventry
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Sheffield Wednesday
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.09 xG 1.14
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
349 Passes 273
80% Pass Accuracy 76%
19 Box Touches 20
15 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 3
05.10.2024 Coventry Coventry 1-2 HT 1-1 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday İNCL
06.02.2024 Coventry Coventry 4-1 HT 1-1 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday FAK
26.01.2024 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday 1-1 HT 0-1 Coventry Coventry FAK
20.01.2024 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday 1-2 HT 0-1 Coventry Coventry İNCL
26.12.2023 Coventry Coventry 2-0 HT 1-0 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday İNCL
27.01.2021 Coventry Coventry 2-0 HT 0-0 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday İNCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Coventry
1-1
AWAY Sheffield Wednesday
44% Ball Possession 56%
15 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 7
0 Passes 0
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Coventry vs Sheffield Wednesday
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Coventry and Sheffield Wednesday couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Coventry at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Coventry had 44% of the ball to Sheffield Wednesday's 56%, shots finished 15-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Coventry had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Coventry and 0.83 for Sheffield Wednesday.

What was the final score of Coventry vs Sheffield Wednesday?

Coventry 1-1 Sheffield Wednesday in the England - FA Cup on 11/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Coventry vs Sheffield Wednesday?

Before kick-off our model rated a Coventry win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Coventry 50%, draw 27%, Sheffield Wednesday 24%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Coventry), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Coventry) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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