St. Louis City vs Los Angeles FC Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
St. Louis City v Los Angeles FC — Team-Based Signals
St. Louis City vs Los Angeles FC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Los Angeles FC
ABD
St. Louis City 2-1 Los Angeles FC — Actual Match Statistics
St. Louis City nicked a narrow win over Los Angeles FC 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
Our pre-match lean was Los Angeles FC at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, St. Louis City had 38% of the ball to Los Angeles FC's 62%, shots finished 8-16, expected goals 2.19 to 2.07.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Los Angeles FC led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for St. Louis City and 1.67 for Los Angeles FC.
What was the final score of St. Louis City vs Los Angeles FC?
St. Louis City 2-1 Los Angeles FC in the USA - Major League on 14/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for St. Louis City vs Los Angeles FC?
Before kick-off our model rated an Los Angeles FC win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split St. Louis City 34%, draw 25%, Los Angeles FC 42%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Los Angeles FC) went the other way.