Estoril 1-3 Benfica — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Premier League, 16 May 2026

Estoril
1 - 3 HT 0 - 3
Benfica
📅16/05/2026 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
8%
7.95
Draw
12%
5.28
Away Pick
80%
1.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under
26%
2.98
Over
74%
1.39
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.69
No
45%
2.05
Total Goals
0-1
12%
6.94
2-3
37%
2.18
4-5
34%
2.37
6+
17%
4.42
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
16.65
1/2
3%
19.1
1/X
3%
23.95
X/1
3%
21.4
X/2
22%
4.06
X/X
7%
9.75
2/1
0%
34.0
2/2
55%
1.39
2/X
3%
20.5
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Estoril The Market 13%
Head to Head
AWAY Benfica The Market 80%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
0.77 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 2.74
2.30 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 0.89
Weak Attack Strength Average
Great Defense Strength Average
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 7
281 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 436 · 84%
12 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 32
11 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Estoril
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Benfica
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
0.62 xG 2.54
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
286 Passes 478
78% Pass Accuracy 84%
17 Box Touches 32
10 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.01.2026 Benfica Benfica 3-1 HT 2-1 Estoril Estoril POR
03.05.2025 Estoril Estoril 1-2 HT 0-2 Benfica Benfica POR
23.12.2024 Benfica Benfica 3-0 HT 1-0 Estoril Estoril POR
10.03.2024 Benfica Benfica 3-1 HT 2-1 Estoril Estoril POR
24.01.2024 Benfica Benfica 1-1 HT 0-1 Estoril Estoril PORLC
07.10.2023 Estoril Estoril 0-1 HT 0-0 Benfica Benfica POR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Estoril
1 - 3
AWAY Benfica
1.52 xG 4.15
47% Ball Possession 53%
16 Total Shots 19
6 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 9
356 Passes 393
83% Pass Accuracy 85%
21 Box Touches 56
11 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Estoril vs Benfica
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Benfica saw off Estoril 3-1 on their travels. Half-time: 0-3.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Benfica as the likeliest winner at 80%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals call finished the job: over 2.5 goals (74%), both teams to score (55%) landed.

On the day, Estoril had 47% of the ball to Benfica's 53%, shots finished 16-19, expected goals 1.52 to 4.15.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Benfica led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Estoril and 2.17 for Benfica.

Estoril vs Benfica Result & Final Score

Estoril 1 - 3 Benfica in the Portugal - Premier League on 16/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Estoril vs Benfica Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Benfica win the most likely single outcome at about 80%, with the full match-result split Estoril 8%, draw 12%, Benfica 80%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Benfica), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Benfica) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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