Sporting CP 3-0 Gil Vicente — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Premier League, 16 May 2026

📅16/05/2026 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
80%
1.22
Draw
14%
6.26
Away
6%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.96
Over 2.5
63%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.82
No
50%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
6.35
2-3 Goals
35%
2.1
4-5 Goals
31%
2.42
6+ Goals
14%
4.87
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
41%
1.34
1/2
2%
34.0
1/X
5%
23.95
X/1 EV+ ✗
30%
3.86
X/2
2%
23.5
X/X
6%
10.3
2/1
8%
19.95
2/2
3%
18.95
2/X
3%
28.0
Value flag · X/1 at 3.86 — our 30% vs market 20.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
79%
Home Win
78%
+1.6pp
14%
Draw
13%
+0.9pp
6%
Away Win
9%
-2.5pp
37%
Under 2.5
30%
+6.6pp
63%
Over 2.5
70%
-6.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.8pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting CP EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY Gil Vicente EU Bookmakers 11%
+1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -6%
2.45/0.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.85
+12% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +0%
62% Ball Possession 38%
18 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
475 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 76%
35.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.3
21.8 Crosses 9.7
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sporting CP
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Gil Vicente
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.42 xG 0.71
62% Ball Possession 38%
14 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
497 Passes 274
88% Pass Accuracy 78%
29 Box Touches 12
23 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 3
02.01.2026 Gil Vicente Gil Vicente 1-1 HT 0-1 Sporting CP Sporting CP POR
04.05.2025 Sporting CP Sporting CP 2-1 HT 0-1 Gil Vicente Gil Vicente POR
27.02.2025 Gil Vicente Gil Vicente 0-1 HT 0-0 Sporting CP Sporting CP POK
22.12.2024 Gil Vicente Gil Vicente 0-0 HT 0-0 Sporting CP Sporting CP POR
12.04.2024 Gil Vicente Gil Vicente 0-4 HT 0-4 Sporting CP Sporting CP POR
04.12.2023 Sporting CP Sporting CP 3-1 HT 1-1 Gil Vicente Gil Vicente POR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sporting CP
3-0
AWAY Gil Vicente
1.61 xG 0.64
62% Ball Possession 38%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 1
525 Passes 292
91% Pass Accuracy 82%
33 Box Touches 16
15 Crosses 7
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sporting CP vs Gil Vicente
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting CP ran out comfortable winners over Gil Vicente 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Sporting CP as the likeliest winner at 79%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (63%) came in.

On the day, Sporting CP had 62% of the ball to Gil Vicente's 38%, shots finished 15-10, expected goals 1.61 to 0.64.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sporting CP had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Sporting CP and 0.50 for Gil Vicente.

What was the final score of Sporting CP vs Gil Vicente?

Sporting CP 3-0 Gil Vicente in the Portugal - Premier League on 16/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting CP vs Gil Vicente?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting CP win the most likely single outcome at about 79%, with the full match-result split Sporting CP 79%, draw 14%, Gil Vicente 6%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sporting CP), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sporting CP) ✓ Over 2.5
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