Casa Pia vs Rio Ave Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Casa Pia v Rio Ave — Team-Based Signals
Casa Pia vs Rio Ave Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-0
Rio Ave
POR
Casa Pia 1-1 Rio Ave — Actual Match Statistics
Casa Pia and Rio Ave shared the points in a 1-1 draw in the Portugal - Premier League on 16 May 2026. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 44% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Casa Pia had 41% of the ball to Rio Ave's 59%, shots finished 20-6, expected goals 2.45 to 0.75.
Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rio Ave lead the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Casa Pia and 1.83 for Rio Ave.
What was the final score of Casa Pia vs Rio Ave?
Casa Pia 1-1 Rio Ave in the Portugal - Premier League on 16/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Casa Pia vs Rio Ave?
Before kick-off our model rated a Casa Pia win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Casa Pia 45%, draw 28%, Rio Ave 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Casa Pia), BTTS No went the other way.