Porto 1-0 Santa Clara — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Premier League, 16 May 2026

📅16/05/2026 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
79%
1.29
Draw
13%
5.15
Away
8%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.21
Over 2.5
53%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.06
No
58%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
4.13
2-3 Goals
37%
1.83
4-5 Goals
24%
2.88
6+ Goals
11%
8.59
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1.46
1/2
2%
34.0
1/X
5%
22.25
X/1
27%
3.64
X/2
2%
19.4
X/X
5%
7.64
2/1
13%
22.65
2/2
4%
17.4
2/X
3%
26.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
79%
Home Win
74%
+5.1pp
13%
Draw
17%
-3.6pp
8%
Away Win
10%
-1.4pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.6pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.6pp
42%
BTTS Yes
44%
-2.8pp
58%
BTTS No
56%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Porto EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Santa Clara EU Bookmakers 12%
+2% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +4%
2.34/0.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/1.81
+2% / +40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +15%
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
445 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 243 · 73%
34.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.7
20.9 Crosses 12.0
1.9 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Porto
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Santa Clara
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
2.01 xG 0.37
66% Ball Possession 34%
13 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
439 Passes 182
84% Pass Accuracy 68%
25 Box Touches 12
17 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 4
04.01.2026 Santa Clara Santa Clara 0-1 HT 0-0 Porto Porto POR
26.01.2025 Porto Porto 1-1 HT 0-1 Santa Clara Santa Clara POR
16.08.2024 Santa Clara Santa Clara 0-2 HT 0-2 Porto Porto POR
29.02.2024 Santa Clara Santa Clara 1-2 HT 1-0 Porto Porto POK
15.04.2023 Porto Porto 2-1 HT 1-0 Santa Clara Santa Clara POR
29.10.2022 Santa Clara Santa Clara 1-1 HT 0-1 Porto Porto POR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Porto
1-0
AWAY Santa Clara
0.91 xG 0.50
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 0
8 Corners 5
322 Passes 275
82% Pass Accuracy 78%
31 Box Touches 15
17 Crosses 15
FAQ Porto vs Santa Clara
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Porto edged past Santa Clara 1-0 in the Portugal - Premier League on 16 May 2026. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 42%.

On the day, Porto had 53% of the ball to Santa Clara's 47%, shots finished 14-11, expected goals 0.91 to 0.50.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Porto have the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Porto and 0.67 for Santa Clara.

What was the final score of Porto vs Santa Clara?

Porto 1-0 Santa Clara in the Portugal - Premier League on 16/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Porto vs Santa Clara?

Before kick-off our model rated a Porto win the most likely single outcome at about 79%, with the full match-result split Porto 79%, draw 13%, Santa Clara 8%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Porto), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Porto) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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