San Jose Earthquakes vs FC Dallas Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
San Jose Earthquakes v FC Dallas — Team-Based Signals
San Jose Earthquakes vs FC Dallas Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-1
San Jose Earthquakes
ABD
1-1
HT 0-0
FC Dallas
ABD
San Jose Earthquakes 2-3 FC Dallas — Actual Match Statistics
FC Dallas edged past San Jose Earthquakes 3-2 away from home in the USA - Major League on 17 May 2026. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 59% and both teams to score was favoured at 61%.
On the day, San Jose Earthquakes had 55% of the ball to FC Dallas's 45%, shots finished 16-16, expected goals 1.96 to 2.75.
Across their last 6 meetings in our records, San Jose Earthquakes have the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for San Jose Earthquakes and 1.67 for FC Dallas.
What was the final score of San Jose Earthquakes vs FC Dallas?
San Jose Earthquakes 2-3 FC Dallas in the USA - Major League on 17/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for San Jose Earthquakes vs FC Dallas?
Before kick-off our model rated a San Jose Earthquakes win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split San Jose Earthquakes 47%, draw 25%, FC Dallas 28%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (San Jose Earthquakes) went the other way.